15 pages
Guides
Plain-English guides to how prediction markets work, whether they are legal where you live, and how they are taxed.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
Kalshi Taxes 2026: 1099s, IRS Reporting and Deducting Losses
Are Kalshi event contracts taxable? Yes. What Kalshi reports, why Section 1256 treatment is unsettled, how losses work and what to keep, as of October 2026.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
Are prediction markets legal in the US? The state-by-state 2026 guide
Federally yes, on CFTC-regulated exchanges. But three appeals courts have split on sports, and 21 states contest Kalshi. The state picture as of October 2026.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
Can You Bet on Elections in the US? The 2026 Legal Position
Yes, on CFTC-regulated exchanges such as Kalshi and Polymarket US, except where state orders block them. How election contracts became legal.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
House 2026 Odds: Live Prediction Market Tracker for Chamber Control
Live prediction-market odds for control of the US House after the 2026 midterms, with 7-day trends, liquidity and what the price does and does not tell you.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
How News Moves Election Prediction Markets: Signal, Noise and Rumour
How headlines move election prediction markets: which news shifts prices, which is noise, and how to read a sudden repricing before you trade on it.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
How to Fund Polymarket in 2026: Every Deposit Method, Limit and Wait Time
How to fund Polymarket US by debit card, ACH, Apple Pay, PayPal, Venmo, wire or USDC: limits, clearing times, withdrawal rules, and the crypto route abroad.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
How to read prediction-market prices: probability, odds and payouts
What does $0.65 mean on Polymarket or Kalshi? Implied probability, the spread, payout math and how to spot a mispricing, with worked examples.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
How to Use Polymarket in the US (2026): Sign Up, Fund, Trade and Withdraw
How to use Polymarket in the US in 2026: check your state, sign up and verify, fund the app, place your first trade, and withdraw. Fees and rules included.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
Is Kalshi Gambling? What Federal Law and the States Say (2026)
Is Kalshi gambling? Federally its contracts are swaps, but appeals courts have split on sports. Where each state stands, as of October 2026.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
Is Kalshi Legit? Safety, Regulation and SSN Questions (2026)
Is Kalshi legit and safe? CFTC regulation, how customer funds are held, why it asks for your SSN, scams to avoid and the real risks, as of October 2026.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
Is Polymarket Safe in 2026? Regulation, Custody and the Real Risks
Is Polymarket safe? How the CFTC-regulated US app holds your money, how the international site differs, and the risks: state bans, hacks and disputes.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
Key Senate and Governor Races 2026: Live Odds by Competitiveness
The individual Senate and governor races that decide 2026 control, ranked by how close the prediction-market price is, with live odds and liquidity.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
Polymarket API Guide (2026): US and International Endpoints, Auth, Limits and Code
Polymarket API guide for October 2026: the US Retail API, Gamma, CLOB and Data API v2 endpoints, authentication, rate limits and tested Python code.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
Prediction markets explained: how they work, what they predict, and why they matter in 2026
How binary event contracts work, why prices read as probabilities, how the exchanges make money, who runs them in the US and where they are legal in 2026.
Guides · Oct 17, 2026
Senate 2026 Odds: Live Prediction Market Tracker for Chamber Control
Live prediction-market odds for control of the US Senate in 2026: the current price, what moves it, and which seats decide the outcome.