BellwetherOpen Polymarket

Terms of use

Balance scale illustration — Bellwether editorial impartiality icon

These terms govern your use of bellwether.market. We have kept them as short and plain as we can. The summary covers the main points; the sections below it are the binding agreement.

By using this site, you agree to these terms. If you do not agree, please do not use the site.

Summary

  • You are 18 or older, and 21 or older where a state or platform requires it for prediction-market trading.
  • Bellwether is an editorial publication, not a financial advisor, broker or law firm. Nothing here is investment, legal or tax advice.
  • Our content is ours. You may read, share and quote it with attribution. You may not republish it wholesale.
  • Some links on Bellwether are affiliate links. We disclose them. See our affiliate disclosure.
  • Trading event contracts carries a real risk of loss. We do not guarantee outcomes. You use the platforms at your own discretion.
  • These terms can change. When they do, the "Last updated" date at the top changes too.

Who we are

Bellwether is an independent editorial publication at bellwether.market, published by Kuutra Oy. We are not a registered broker, a dealer, a futures commission merchant, a designated contract market, a swap execution facility or any other CFTC-registered entity. We are a publisher.

Eligibility

You must be at least 18 years old to use this site. Some platforms we cover require users to be 21 or older, in some states or everywhere; Novig, for example, requires users to be 21 or older. You are responsible for checking your own eligibility for any platform we cover. Each platform runs its own age and residency checks at sign-up.

Most of the platforms we cover are open only to US residents. If you visit from outside the US, the affiliate offers and platform availability we describe may not apply to you.

Acceptable use

You may read every page and subscribe to the newsletter. You may share a link to any page, or quote up to a few sentences with attribution to bellwether.market.

You may not:

  • Republish full articles on another site, in print or in an aggregator without our written permission.
  • Scrape the site to train AI models commercially without our written permission.
  • Frame, mirror or proxy the site to hide its origin.
  • Use bellwether.market to defraud, harass, defame or otherwise harm anyone.
  • Reverse-engineer or attack the site's infrastructure.

If your use causes us material costs (legal, hosting, takedown), we may seek to recover them.

Intellectual property

All editorial content on bellwether.market, including articles, guides, reviews, comparisons, framing language and visual treatments, is the property of Bellwether. Trademarks and logos of third-party platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, Robinhood and others) belong to their owners and are used here for editorial reference under fair use.

You keep ownership of anything you send us, such as an email with feedback. By sending it, you grant us a non-exclusive, royalty-free license to quote it in editorial content, anonymized unless you tell us we may name you.

Affiliate relationships

Bellwether earns a commission when you sign up for some platforms through our /go/ links. We disclose this on every page that contains an affiliate link, and in full on our affiliate disclosure page. The commission does not change how we cover a platform. We have published unfavorable analysis of platforms that pay us and favorable analysis of platforms that pay us nothing. Editorial and commercial decisions are made separately and are not traded against each other.

Nothing on bellwether.market is investment, legal or tax advice. We are publishers, not advisors. Reading our reviews or guides does not create an advisor-client relationship.

Prediction markets are speculative. You can lose your entire stake on any contract. Legality is contested in some states, especially for sports event contracts. Tax treatment depends on your circumstances, and platform terms can change. For advice on your own situation, consult a licensed financial advisor, attorney or CPA in your jurisdiction.

"As is": no warranties

The site is provided "as is" and "as available". We make no warranty, express or implied, that the content is accurate, complete, current or fit for any particular purpose. We work to be accurate and we cite our sources, but this industry changes quickly, and a fact that was current when we wrote it may not be current when you read it. Always check with the platform or regulator before acting on anything.

We do not warrant that the site will be uninterrupted, secure or free of errors. We make no warranty about the third-party platforms we link to.

Limitation of liability

To the maximum extent permitted by law, Bellwether, including Kuutra Oy and any contributors, is not liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or punitive damages arising from your use of the site, your reliance on its content, or your dealings with any third-party platform we cover. This includes, without limitation, trading losses, missed opportunities, regulatory enforcement against you, and data loss.

If a court declines to enforce that limitation, our maximum aggregate liability to you is one hundred US dollars ($100).

When you click a /go/ link or any other external link, you leave bellwether.market for another company's site. Its terms, privacy policy and conduct are not ours. We do not control those companies, we do not endorse everything they do, and we are not responsible for what happens on their platforms.

Changes to these terms

We update these terms when our practices, the law or the industry change materially. The "Last updated" date at the top shows the current version. If you keep using the site after a change, you accept the updated terms. If a change is material, we will note it visibly on this page for thirty days.

Governing law

These terms are governed by the laws of the State of Delaware, United States, without regard to its conflict-of-laws principles. Any dispute not resolved informally will be brought in the state or federal courts located in Delaware. If a Delaware court declines jurisdiction, the courts of Finland are the alternative forum.

Contact

Questions about these terms: info@bellwether.market

Where to go next